'Anora' is the movie to beat heading into the Oscars. Could 'Conclave' disrupt its dominance? This formula predicts which movie will come out on top.

Yahoo Entertainment created a power rankings system to predict which of the 10 Best Picture nominees is most likely to win the top honor on Hollywood ’s biggest night.

Anora has a commanding lead for the third week in a row .

Conclave just leaped into the No. 2 spot, replacing Wicked .

Conclave became the second -most-favored film on the list to win the Best Picture Oscar , unseating The Brutalist but still trailing Anora .

Wicked is the most popular Best Picture nominee this year , enchanting audiences in theaters and generating countless memes through a massive press tour that we're still holding space for.

Wicked dropped behind Anora and Conclave to No. 3 in the prediction category.

Emilia Pérez and Best Actress nominee Karla Sofía Gascón have been embroiled in a major controversy.

Dune: Part Two has been holding steady for weeks as other movies surge around it, causing its position to change slightly.

A Complete Unknown is the fourth -most-predicted winner for Best Picture , gaining some steam compared with other films.