Inverted yield curve raises recession fears

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Yield curve inversions

CNBC

•

Business

Business & Economics

The Federal Reserve's favorite recession indicator is flashing a danger sign again

Summary

Nutrition label

86% Informative

The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in trading Wednesday .

The previous inversion happened in October 2022 , and there's still been no recession 2 years later .

While there's no certainty that growth will turn negative this time around, investors worry that expected growth from an ambitious agenda under President Donald Trump may not happen.

The yield curve inversion "is a pure play on the economy being not as strong as people thought it was going to be at the beginning of the Trump administration," he said. "Whether or not we're forecasting a full-blown recession, I don't know. You need job losses for a recession, so we're missing one key point of the data.".

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informal

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English

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not hateful